Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000118 0.000131 0.000145 0.000161 0.000178 0.000197 0.000219
2025-11-23 0.000099 0.000116 0.000136 0.000160 0.000188 0.000221 0.000261
2025-11-30 0.000086 0.000106 0.000130 0.000160 0.000199 0.000245 0.000306
2025-12-07 0.000075 0.000096 0.000123 0.000159 0.000206 0.000265 0.000347
2025-12-14 0.000067 0.000090 0.000120 0.000161 0.000218 0.000293 0.000400
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000085 0.000116 0.000162 0.000227 0.000317 0.000451
2025-12-28 0.000055 0.000079 0.000112 0.000161 0.000234 0.000337 0.000498
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000075 0.000110 0.000164 0.000245 0.000365 0.000557
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000072 0.000107 0.000164 0.000253 0.000388 0.000613
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000068 0.000104 0.000164 0.000260 0.000410 0.000666
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000064 0.000101 0.000163 0.000265 0.000429 0.000718
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000061 0.000099 0.000163 0.000272 0.000452 0.000777
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000058 0.000095 0.000161 0.000276 0.000471 0.000833
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000055 0.000093 0.000161 0.000282 0.000493 0.000896
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000053 0.000091 0.000161 0.000289 0.000518 0.000968
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000050 0.000088 0.000159 0.000293 0.000537 0.001029
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000049 0.000088 0.000162 0.000304 0.000571 0.001124
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000163 0.000313 0.000600 0.001209
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000162 0.000317 0.000622 0.001284
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000164 0.000329 0.000659 0.001392
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000043 0.000082 0.000165 0.000336 0.000687 0.001487
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000041 0.000081 0.000164 0.000342 0.000713 0.001577
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000040 0.000079 0.000163 0.000346 0.000736 0.001662